Sorry I’m late

--Originally published at Blog de Célia

Sorry everyone I’m late with all the coronavirus stories I did not had the time to do my weekly task of writing about The Deadline (I’m sur you’ve already missed me). So, I’m back at it nooooow.

Starting now with a resume of the situation: Mr. T met a new guy when he was travelling outside of the country (in Rome, I hope he did not bring the coronavirus with him to Morovian lol, sorry, I’m trying to laugh about the situation, better to laugh than cry, isn’t it?). The guy and him had a discussion about productivity and hunches in project management. The guy tried to explain to Webster the importance of transforming hunches in models to get better in your previsions.

Webster said that by doble the persons working on a project, the productivity won’t doble. However, he couldn’t give number or say exactly how it’s will change with precisely and the give taught him that with a model he could know. If the productivity is not as great when you work with more people, it’s because they lose time interactions between each other.

As well to know your productivity rate and how the people affect it you have to be aware about the hiring and quitting rate. Since, someone arrive in a project you have to teach him stuff, so you will lose time at the beginning. Also, with the explications and the software the man gave to Webster, now he can modelized all his hunches. The models will be turn in actual result if he uses it well.

« SCRUM app » by Novi Milenkovic is licensed under CC BY-NC 4.0

Review on Chapter 10 of “The Deadline: A Novel about Project Management”

--Originally published at Project Evaluation and Management Reflections

The Hidden Treasures of System Dynamics

While Mr. T. is in Rome to check if Morovia actually does pay him as they had promised (yes, he´s apparently still suspicious and he still cares about the money, despite the fact how much he obviously likes his new job), he gets to meet Dr. Abdul Jamid, an acquaintance of an old friend. Dr. Jamid is working on management dynamics, something that will prove helpful for the tasks to be done in Morovia…

When first looking at the functionality of management dynamics, Mr. T. is overwhelmed by all the information and reluctant to acknowledge the usefulness of modelling management dynamics… something I can relate to better than anyone, after completing a whole module on system dynamics in my previous semester at university.

My professor back then introduced us to system dynamics with the classic „Chicken & Eggs problem“.
If we think that no other variables other than chicken and eggs exist, we have a system consisting of one reinforcing loop, that is „More chicken 🐔🐔“ –> „More Eggs 🥚🥚🥚“ –> „More Chicken🐔🐔🐔🐔“ –> „More Eggs🥚🥚🥚🥚“ …… (you should understand it by now)
This would lead to exponential growth in the stock of chickens…however, in reality, growth is limited by a certain carrying capacity, e.g. the size of the farm where chicken live. At one point, the farm will be full and chicken will start crossing the road next to it – which inevitably leads to lots of 🍗🍗🍗 🍗 (dead chicken 😢). This actually represents a new feedback loop, which is balancing the total stock of chicken.
Depending on variables such as growth rate, death rate, carrying capacity and time delays, the total number of chickens could take different sizes over time.

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